2026-04-05
Fat Pitch
Holy Grail RadarConvergence of ≥3 independent signals where filing or earnings reality diverges from market pricing. These are rare. When they appear, they deserve full attention.
1
Signal Convergence
Three or more independent signals — price action, volume, options flow, insider activity, or fundamental — all pointing the same direction.
2
Reality Gap
Earnings or filing data that materially contradicts what the market has priced in. The crowd is wrong in a way that's verifiable.
3
Asymmetric Payoff
Defined risk entry where the downside is bounded and the upside is 3–10×. Not just directional bets — asymmetric structures.
Current Candidates
0 active🎯
No active fat pitches
The pipeline hasn't surfaced a conviction ≥3-signal convergence yet. They're rare by design.
Fat pitches are written to
state/fat-pitches.json by the pipeline when conviction_score ≥ 80 and signal_count ≥ 3.How Fat Pitches Get Here
Automatic detection
The scanner flags tickers where ≥3 independent signal types fire within 48 hours. The pipeline's conviction_score gate amplifies convergent signals — a single ticker with volume spike + IV expansion + RSI extreme scores very high.Manual surfacing
Thorp's team (Numbers Guy, Word on the Street) can write directly to state/fat-pitches.json for opportunities that require qualitative judgment — earnings misreads, SEC filing anomalies, or sector rotations not captured by quantitative signals.